Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.747988e-05 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108
2025-01-05 3.689899e-05 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089 0.000107 0.000129
2025-01-12 2.913297e-05 0.000040 0.000054 0.000071 0.000092 0.000116 0.000145
2025-01-19 2.288088e-05 0.000034 0.000049 0.000068 0.000092 0.000121 0.000157
2025-01-26 1.849667e-05 0.000030 0.000045 0.000066 0.000093 0.000126 0.000169
2025-02-02 1.621231e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000067 0.000098 0.000136 0.000187
2025-02-09 1.374822e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000067 0.000100 0.000143 0.000201
2025-02-16 1.282076e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000108 0.000157 0.000223
2025-02-23 1.088290e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000069 0.000109 0.000162 0.000235
2025-03-02 8.840101e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000067 0.000108 0.000164 0.000242
2025-03-09 7.392393e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000065 0.000109 0.000168 0.000252
2025-03-16 6.188358e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000064 0.000109 0.000172 0.000262
2025-03-23 5.106921e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000063 0.000111 0.000179 0.000277
2025-03-30 4.210456e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000063 0.000114 0.000186 0.000293
2025-04-06 3.310562e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000061 0.000114 0.000190 0.000304
2025-04-13 2.461951e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000059 0.000112 0.000192 0.000312
2025-04-20 1.867564e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000057 0.000112 0.000195 0.000322
2025-04-27 1.609168e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000116 0.000205 0.000342
2025-05-04 1.279137e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000058 0.000118 0.000211 0.000357
2025-05-11 1.201915e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000061 0.000126 0.000227 0.000384
2025-05-18 9.312269e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000060 0.000127 0.000232 0.000397
2025-05-25 6.502637e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000057 0.000125 0.000232 0.000404
2025-06-01 4.724802e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000056 0.000125 0.000236 0.000415